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Society · Guess the stat

How well do you know online polling?

Guess the real numbers behind how surveys and polls are run, see how everyone else guessed, and get the source.

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What share of people actually responded to a typical Pew Research telephone poll in 2018?

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online and electronic public-opinion polling
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49%

What share of respondents in that study agreed to share their name and address so pollsters could check them against a voter file?

Roughly half of respondents were unwilling to hand over that identifying information at all.

Source: Pew Research Center (2024) pewresearch.org

73%

Of the respondents willing to share contact details, what share were successfully matched to a real voter file record?

Some willing respondents still couldn't be matched, often because they simply weren't registered to vote.

Source: Pew Research Center (2024) pewresearch.org

36%

Across the entire sample, what share of respondents were ultimately matched to a valid voter file record?

That means voter-file matching would have thrown out the large majority of the sample, including many honest respondents.

Source: Pew Research Center (2024) pewresearch.org

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Each question asks you to guess a real number about online and electronic public-opinion polling. After you answer you see how everyone else guessed, then the real figure and where it comes from.

How is the daily round scored?

Four stats and one opinion poll. A correct guess earns 100 points plus up to 50 for speed, with a combo bonus for answers in a row. The range next to the right answer earns 40. Opinion polls earn 25 for having your say, and nailing every stat adds 150.

Where do the numbers come from?

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